Mostrando postagens com marcador poltica. Mostrar todas as postagens
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segunda-feira, 24 de novembro de 2014

O corrupto não é ladrão: ele mata e mutila vidas: assassinos.!!

A corrupção assassina - Renato Janine Ribeiro

VALOR ECONÔMICO 24/11/2014

É errado chamar um político de ladrão. O que ele faz é pior. Mata doentes e mutila a esperança de melhorar a vida

Já escrevi aqui sobre a corrupção, porém não gosto de me repetir, nem de me limitar à indignação. Mas vale a pena, no curso das operações Lava-Jato e Juízo Final, firmar alguns pontos fundamentais.

Primeiro: "república" é coisa pública, bem comum. A conduta mais antirrepublicana que há é vulnerar, atacar, destruir o bem comum. Ou seja, nada é mais inimigo da república do que a corrupção, que privatiza ilegalmente o que pertence a todos. É um erro, que devemos à escola, pensar que o contrário da república é a monarquia. Distinguir repúblicas e monarquias é coisa do século XIX, quando estas últimas eram o que hoje chamamos de ditaduras.

Desde a vitória dos Aliados na II Guerra Mundial, quase todas as monarquias são constitucionais. As monarquias escandinavas visam mais o bem comum do que muitas "repúblicas" do resto do mundo. Devolvamos à República seu sentido forte: há república quando se visa o bem comum. Ser contra a república não é questão de opinião, de achar bonito um rei. É crime, é praticar atos desviando de sua finalidade o viver em comum.

O corrupto não é ladrão: ele mata e mutila vidas


Segundo: na América Latina nos acostumamos ao patrimonialismo, uma das versões ibéricas do que hoje chamamos corrupção. Consiste em o governante tratar a coisa pública como se fosse seu patrimônio privado. Toda confusão do público e do privado, quando favorece o detentor do poder político, vai dar em patrimonialismo. Por exemplo, se um governante usa os carros oficiais para transportar familiares (a não ser que haja razões claras, consensuadas, de segurança para tal). Nossos governadores e presidente, que moram em palácios e não gastam nem com a comida ou a roupa, dão exemplo disso. Mas este é só um detalhe.


Porque, terceiro: não é verdade que "somos todos corruptos". Não somos, não. Estou convencido de que a grande maioria é honesta. Não vamos desresponsabilizar os corruptos por sua corrupção dizendo que ela pertence à "cultura brasileira". Nossa sociedade pode ser um tanto leniente com isso, mas mesmo isso está mudando. Já comentei aqui a modelo que contou à "revista Trip" que usava sua beleza para não levar multas dos guardas. Falou isso num tom de flerte, mas mesmo assim os leitores caíram matando. Nossa leniência diminuiu muito, e isso é ótimo. Também temos mais informações sobre desvios de dinheiro, além de menos tolerância por isso.


Quarto, talvez mais importante: não é verdade que todos os atos de corrupção se equivalem. Sim, é errado agradar o policial ou o atendente, mas montar um "clube" para furtar centenas de milhões de dólares da Petrobras é coisa muito diferente. Não é apenas uma questão de tamanho. É uma diferença de concepção. Os pequenos erros morais de cada dia não estão na mesma lógica do assalto organizado aos cofres públicos. Precisamos desenvolver este ponto. Suponho que a lógica seja a inversa: não é porque vários corrompem policiais que uns pouquíssimos atacam o erário público. Talvez seja porque esses pouquíssimos roubam tanto que aqueles outros perdem a crença na honestidade, na decência. O que inspira uma cultura ampliada de desistência do bem comum é o mau exemplo dos poucos.

Mas, mais que isso, penso que um grande desafio à ética é: em que a roubalheira dos grandes se distingue dos pecadilhos dos pequenos? Eu mesmo, por enquanto, não tenho resposta completa, e lanço este desafio aos colegas que também trabalham com a ética. Mas penso que precisamos distinguir o furto do bem privado e o desvio do bem público. A ideia de que o corrupto é "ladrão", tão pertinaz em nossa sociedade, se inspira na sua comparação com quem furta indivíduos. Mas as vítimas do corrupto não são individuais, são a sociedade inteira. Daí que, talvez, seja mais correto pensar que eles não se limitam a furtar dinheiro (no caso, público), mas - acima de tudo - impeçam o bom uso desse dinheiro, por exemplo, em saúde, educação, outros serviços essenciais. Impedem que doentes sejam salvos, em hospitais que não deixaram existir ou funcionar. Impedem que crianças e adolescentes sejam educados, em escolas que devido a eles não existem ou não funcionam. Seu crime é contra a vida, que eles abreviam ou mutilam. Abreviada, a vida dos que morrem antes da hora. Mutilada, a dos que vivem mal. Por que não considerar assassinos os corruptos? Pelo menos, no nível simbólico.

Talvez por isso, faça sentido a reforma legal que, na esteira das manifestações de 2013, tornou hediondo o crime de corrupção. Voltarei a este tema no futuro, mas observo que o hediondo, propriamente dito, é uma pessoa ver o sofrimento de outra e ser indiferente a ele, ou até sentir prazer graças a ele. Isso é desumano. Isso é desumanidade. Mas isso só acontece em alguns crimes presenciais - geralmente, crimes cometidos por pobres. Ora, a corrupção é um crime não-presencial; mais que isso: indireto, abstrato. O corrupto não vê a sua frente as crianças desnutridas, as pessoas miseráveis porque privadas de educação, os mortos de doenças curáveis que são vítimas da corrupção. Por isso, a rigor, seu crime não é hediondo.

Mas ele mata mais, muito mais, que o pé de chinelo enlouquecido pela falta de oportunidades e sobra de drogas. O corrupto provavelmente teria pena de sua vítima se a visse, até porque ele não atira nem apunhala. Ele não mata com seus atos, mas com sua omissão. É omitindo comida, remédios e educação que ele chacina. Mas não será um sinal de nosso desenvolvimento moral começarmos a chamar de hediondo também esse tipo de atitude, em que a pessoa pode até ser caridosa no micro, mas - no macro - destrói a república e mata ou mutila vidas?


Renato Janine Ribeiro é professor titular de ética e filosofia política na Universidade de São Paulo.
E-mail: rjanine@usp.br

sábado, 1 de novembro de 2014

¿Por qué hay tantos niños ricos de izquierda?

extraído del Blog Argentina Vórtice Geopolítico Mundial.

http://argentinavorticegeopoliticomundial.blogspot.com.br/2014/10/por-que-hay-tantos-ninos-ricos-de.html?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=facebook




Por Agustín Laje (*)
Toda una curiosidad constituye el hecho –de ninguna manera nuevo– de la inclinación o adhesión a la izquierda por parte de jóvenes provenientes de familias acomodadas o, por lo menos, de buen pasar económico. Por lo general, se trata de estudiantes universitarios mantenidos por sus padres, que encuentran en la prédica izquierdista un sentido de justicia que los desvela por completo, llevándolos a una colisión permanente entre dichos y hechos.
El fenómeno descrito tiene una complejidad mucho más profunda de la que en este artículo, necesariamente breve, puedo desarrollar como respuesta parcial: sentimientos de culpa por lo que se tiene, odio al padre (como explicaba Pablo Giussani en relación a los jóvenes montoneros), simples impulsos de rebeldía, modas ideológicas (como aseveraba Ludwig von Mises en El Socialismo), etc., podrían ser componentes que expliquen también esta adhesión del joven adinerado a la izquierda. No obstante todo ello, en la teoría que deseo aquí presentar quisiera poner el foco en los sistemas de moralidad que acompañan al joven mantenido en su camino hacia el socialismo.
En primer lugar, debe decirse que los principios de justicia socialista basados en la necesidad (“de cada uno según su capacidad a cada uno según su necesidad” decía Marx), resultan apropiados para regir órdenes sociales micro, tales como la familia o el grupo de amigos en las sociedades modernas. En efecto, hace justicia la madre que da a sus hijos según sus necesidades y urgencias, y no según otros criterios como podría ser el mérito. ¿Acaso consideraríamos justo que el padre de familia evalúe el mérito de sus hijos, por ejemplo, en la escuela, a la hora de decidir si suministrarles o no alimento?
Ahora bien, si intentáramos aplicar hasta las últimas consecuencias el principio de la necesidad como criterio de justicia en un orden extenso, sólo una situación de incompleta injusticia e ineficiencia podría derivarse de tal cosa. El legítimo altruismo familiar devendría en ilegítimo saqueo social por parte de una autoridad planificadora que acabaría a la postre con toda libertad individual y hundiría a la sociedad en el hambre y la miseria (el genocidio soviético y el genocidio maoísta son sólo dos ejemplos históricos de lo dicho).
Así pues, debe remarcarse que el ideal socialista de justicia es sólo aplicable a grupos reducidos por una sencilla razón: los lazos sociales que unen a los miembros de estos grupos son tan fuertes, que permiten el altruismo como un modo de comportamiento moral habitual y estructurante. En órdenes extensos, donde no conocemos realmente al otro y donde el otro no nos conoce a nosotros, este tipo de moralidad no puede más que manifestarse esporádicamente y es incapaz, tal como ha demostrado Hayek en La fatal arrogancia, de sostener cualquier sociedad abierta y compleja.
¿Qué ocurre entonces con esos jóvenes universitarios adinerados que encuentran en la izquierda una ideología a la cual adherir?
Pienso que su propia experiencia de vida los lleva a extrapolar la moralidad que es propia del orden reducido al orden extenso. En efecto, el joven universitario adinerado suele ser un gran acreedor de la moralidad socialista que rige al grupo familiar, el cual costea desde sus estudios hasta su vivienda; desde su vestimenta hasta sus entretenimientos y ocios; desde sus vacaciones hasta su automóvil propio. De tal suerte que, de forma inconsciente, el joven ha aprendido a vivir mediante el esfuerzo de otros (sus progenitores), y ve que su vida es buena, y quiere lo mismo para los demás. Puede tratarse de un buen  y sincero sentimiento, pero completamente errado en tanto que descuida algo fundamental: que sus padres jamás hubieran mantenido de la misma forma y en la misma medida a un completo desconocido que integre el orden extenso en el cual el grupo familiar se asienta.
En otras palabras, el joven que vive de la redistribución de la riqueza que efectúan sus padres en su favor, ha aprendido de forma inconsciente a concebir la economía como una torta dada que debe ser repartida, cuando lo cierto es que en la economía la torta no está ni dada (debe producirse) ni puede ser repartida por una figura paternalista sin que ello ponga en peligro los propios incentivos que llevaron a crear dicha torta.
El joven adinerado se hace de izquierda, en definitiva, porque confunde dos planos morales completamente distintos que rigen dos órdenes sociales completamente diferentes. Su vida ha sido tan fácil y cómoda en virtud de su pertenencia a una familia de holgura económica, que pretende hacer de la sociedad un reflejo de su familia y del Estado un reflejo de su propio padre. La necesidad y no el mérito en servir las demandas ajenas (el fundamento de la justicia en un orden extenso) debe entonces regir a la sociedad como criterio de justicia según su opinión.
Lo que no entiende el niño rico de izquierda −que posiblemente posea buenas intenciones− es que los peores totalitarismos que ha vivido la humanidad han sido consecuencia precisamente de querer hacer de la sociedad moderna una “gran familia” y del Estado un “buen padre”.
(*) Director del Centro de Estudios Libertad y Responsabilidad (LIBRE)

El inevitable fracaso de los intelectuales metidos en política

Boecio y la filosofía, por Mattia Preti, siglo XVII.
Boecio y la filosofía, por Mattia Preti, siglo XVII.

Publicado por Javier Bilbao




Mientras leía vuestra carta conseguía olvidar mi infeliz estado, y me parecía volver a aquellos manejos en los que en vano invertí tantas fatigas y tiempo. (Nicolás Maquiavelo, 29 de abril de 1513)

El esquema parece repetirse una y otra vez a lo largo de la historia: alguien movido por la ambición personal o por el deseo de ver hechas realidad las ideas sobre las que ha teorizado se mete en la arena política, gracias a su talento logra ascender en la jerarquía, aproximándose cada vez más a ese poder que tanto ansía y le deslumbra, hasta que cual Ícaro ascendiendo al Sol o polilla que se acerca demasiado a la bombilla termina siendo achicharrado sin piedad. Entonces, derrotado políticamente, renegado por sus antiguos aliados, expulsado de su cargo, partido, ciudad o país, encarcelado o hasta condenado a muerte, recapacita en sus últimos días sobre qué es lo que ha fallado, qué hubiera cambiado de tener una segunda oportunidad o incluso sobre qué sentido tiene todo: la política, el poder, los ideales, la libertad, la vida misma. Podría decirse que una parte considerable de la literatura, teoría política y filosofía occidental son los restos de una larga serie de naufragios personales. ¿Por qué? ¿Cuánto hay de causa o de consecuencia? ¿Fracasaron como políticos por pensar demasiado o fue ese fiasco el que los dejó meditabundos? Decía Eurípides que los sabios tienen dos lenguas, con una dicen la verdad y con la otra lo que conviene a cada momento, ¿acaso les sobraba una de las dos para medrar en la política? Quizá un breve repaso de alguno de los nombres más significativos nos ayude a entenderlo. 

El fundador de esta larga dinastía de pensadores caídos en desgracia tras acercarse al poder fue, naturalmente, Platón. Pionero en este como en tantos otros campos, podría decirse que su experiencia política en Siracusa es una idea platónica al respecto de la que las posteriores son una pálida sombra, lo que seguramente le habría encantado. En el año 387 a.C. visitó por primera vez a esta ciudad situada en la isla de Sicilia, un viaje que repetiría más adelante en otras dos ocasiones. Su pretensión era hacer del tirano que gobernaba allí, Dionisio, un gobernante-filósofo a la manera en que teorizó en su obra La República. Pero el alumno le salió díscolo: no sabemos si porque no le entendió, o porque le entendió demasiado bien, terminaría desterrándolo y vendiéndolo como esclavo en una ciudad vecina. Posteriormente lo intentaría de nuevo con su hijo y sucesor en el poder, Dionisio II, y nuevamente terminaría decepcionado. Su sociedad utópica era perfecta en todos los aspectos salvo en el pequeño detalle de que resultaba irrealizable en la práctica, pero al menos su intento de hacerla realidad no le costó la vida. 

Tres grandes pensadores romanos como Cicerón, Séneca y Boecio no tuvieron esa suerte. El primero fue un jurista, filósofo y, ante todo, excepcional orador, que dejó para la posteridad una serie de discursos en torno a la amistad, los dioses, la política… Empleó a fondo su elocuencia para defender la república y granjearse poderosos enemigos que le llevaron en cierto momento de su vida a decir «estoy profundamente arrepentido de vivir, nadie ha sido jamás víctima de una calamidad tan grande; para nadie ha sido más deseable la muerte». Terminó exiliado en su residencia de Tusculum dedicándose a la escritura pero la llegada al poder en el 43 a. C. de Marco Antonio —contra el que había dedicado inspirados discursos— supuso su final de una de las peores maneras imaginables: le cortaron la cabeza y las manos, que fueron exhibidas públicamente en Roma. 

Y no decimos la peor porque ahí está el caso de Séneca. Otro destacado filósofo que alcanzó un gran poder en el Senado romano, por lo que estuvo a punto de ser condenado a muerte por el emperador Calígula y luego por Claudio, aunque este último conmutó la pena por el destierro a Córcega. Fue allí donde nuestro pensador escribiría algunas de las obras que le dieron la inmortalidad. Tras ocho años de exilio regresó a la política convirtiéndose en el tutor y consejero de Nerón (y gobernante de facto del imperio), pero viendo que al emperador su presencia cada vez le resultaba más molesta, Séneca terminó retirándose de la vida pública. Momento que de nuevo le serviría de inspiración literaria, hasta que de todas maneras Nerón terminó ordenando su muerte, cría cuervos… Como buen romano, Séneca prefirió entonces el suicidio cortándose las venas primero, bebiendo cicuta después sin lograr que hiciera efecto y tomando un baño caliente en el que finalmente le llegaría la muerte. 

La muerte de Séneca, por Manuel Dominguez Sánchez
La muerte de Séneca, por Manuel Dominguez Sánchez.

El tercero en desgracia fue Boecio. Nacido en Roma en el año 480, su ascenso político fue fulgurante: llegó a ser senador a los veinticinco, cónsul a los treinta, y apenas una década después consejero del rey Teodorico el Grande, un cargo en el que tuvo un considerable poder político y que le permitió atribuir sendos cargos de cónsules para sus hijos. Pero ese mismo rey terminó enviándolo a prisión bajo la acusación de conspiración. Había llegado a lo más alto con presteza y ahora de forma aún más rápida lo había perdido todo ¿Cómo había sido tal cosa posible? En sus largos meses de soledad en la celda, mientras esperaba el momento de su ejecución, pensó en ello obsesivamente hasta darle forma en un libro que le sobreviviría, Consolación de la filosofía. Escrito de acuerdo a los cánones romanos de las consolaciones y a modo de libro de memorias, de especulación filosófica y teológica, narra en él su desgracia («yo que en mis mocedades componía hermosos versos, cuando todo a mi alrededor parecía sonreír, hoy me veo sumido en llanto, y ¡triste de mí!, solo puedo entonar estrofas de dolor») y llega a la conclusión de que hay que sobrellevar los vaivenes de la vida con estoicismo, pues la diosa Fortuna es caprichosa:

Hago girar con rapidez mi rueda, y entonces me deleita ver cómo sube lo que estaba abajo y se baja lo que estaba en alto. Súbete a ella, si quieres, pero a condición de que cuando la ley de mi juego lo prescriba, no consideres injusto el que te haga bajar.

Así le habla cuando se aparece ante sus ojos en prisión, creando una imagen que arraigaría con firmeza en la cultura europea durante los siglos posteriores, como ya vimos aquí. Se diría a la luz de los ejemplos que estamos viendo que esta diosa generosa y cruel juega con todos nosotros, aunque parece tener especial predilección por aquellos que se lanzaron al ruedo político. 

Otro autor que influiría considerablemente en el imaginario occidental fue Dante Alighieri. Nació en torno a 1265 y desde joven estuvo inmerso en las intrigas políticas que dividían a los florentinos primero entre güelfos (partidarios del Pontificado) y gibelinos (partidarios del Sacro Imperio Romano Germánico) y —una vez fueron derrotados los segundos— entre güelfos blancos y negros. Inicialmente la diosa Fortuna lo hizo ascender a un alto cargo como magistrado y embajador de la ciudad pero en el año 1302 se deleitó en hacerlo caer estrepitosamente: los equilibrios políticos que le habían beneficiado dieron un brusco giro y junto a otros seiscientos güelfos blancos fue condenado al exilio para el resto de su vida. Su caída en desgracia y su resentimiento hacia quienes le traicionaron fueron sin embargo muy inspiradoras para su faceta de escritor, pues apenas dos años después comenzó su gran obra, La divina comedia. En este monumental poema se retrata a sí mismo caído en el infierno, que irá recorriendo en sus nueve círculos acompañado por el poeta Virgilio. En cada nivel descubrirá un tormento distinto para las almas allí atrapadas, como espantosos ríos de sangre en los que se ahogan eternamente, torbellinos, lluvias de fuego, fosos de resina hirviente, cementerios con las almas enterradas hasta la cintura… y en cada lugar casualmente va encontrándose a los diferentes enemigos políticos que tuvo en Florencia. Esa parte, la del infierno, fue la primera que escribió de La divina comedia —se estima que entre 1304 y 1307 y fue la más brillante, la que le hizo entrar en el Olimpo de la literatura universal. Más adelante en las cánticas del purgatorio y del paraíso retrató a quienes les debía gratitud, como el señor de Verona, que lo acogió en su exilio. Pero ya no era lo mismo.

Estatua de Maquiavelo, por Lorenzo Bartolini. Foto Jebulon (CC)
Estatua de Maquiavelo, por Lorenzo Bartolini. Foto Jebulon (CC)

Dos siglos después nacería otro florentino con un destino similar en ciertos aspectos, como si no hubiera vidas originales para todos y a algunos les tocase una repetida. Estamos hablando de Nicolás Maquiavelo. Su gran oportunidad política llegó con la expulsión del poder de los Médici en 1494. Fue entonces cuando comenzó su carrera de funcionario que le haría ascender cuatro años después a canciller y secretario de la Segunda Cancillería. Ejerció de embajador para su ciudad-estado ante reyes, príncipes y papas, observándolos como un entomólogo a sus insectos. Analizaba meticulosamente su comportamiento, escrutando cuándo decían la verdad o iban de farol así como intentando prever su próxima jugada (y lo hizo a menudo con gran acierto). Pero en 1512 el papa Julio II impuso el regreso de los Médici al poder, haciendo acabar así la república florentina y con ella la carrera política de Maquiavelo, que fue sometido a torturas acusado de conspiración y posteriormente condenado al exilio. En su retiro en una pequeña propiedad rural además de leer a Dante comenzó a escribir inspirándose en su vida anterior, plasmando sobre el papel sus observaciones sobre el poder. Nacería así El príncipe

Si Maquiavelo es una de las figuras que encarnan el Renacimiento, Baltasar Gracián lo es del Barroco. Los jesuitas han sido considerados tradicionalmente como gente astuta y vinculada al poder y Gracián es un buen ejemplo de ello. Formado en la orden de los jesuitas, tuvo siempre grandes ambiciones políticas que le llevaron primero a trabar amistad con Vincencio Juan de Lastanosa, un noble aragonés conocido por su mecenazgo cultural. Pero más adelante quiso probar suerte en la Corte de Madrid, una experiencia que terminó en un doloroso fracaso… y que de nuevo fue motivo de inspiración literaria. Posteriormente escribiría obras como El Criticón, El Político y Oráculo manual y arte de prudencia. Este último influyó notablemente en filósofos como Schopenhauer y Nietzsche, aunque hoy día se haya convertido en un libro de autoayuda para ejecutivos al estilo de El arte de la guerra de Sun Tzu. Es una colección de aforismos con los que aconseja al lector cómo ser un buen cortesano arribista. Todos ellos giran en torno a ser taimado, mentiroso, traicionero y manipulador hasta tal extremo de refinamiento y perversidad que algunos críticos posteriores lo han considerado una sutil parodia y una crítica implacable a las intrigas cortesanas que tanto le escarmentaron y en general al ambiente imperante en cualquier centro de poder. Todo político que se precie hoy día parece seguir su máxima «ni por el hablar en la plaza se ha de sacar el sabio, pues no habla allí con su voz, sino con la de la necedad común, por más que la esté desmintiendo su interior». Y cualquier ciudadano en consecuencia merece estar advertido por este otro:

Es el oído la puerta segunda de la verdad y principal de la mentira. La verdad ordinariamente se ve, extravagantemente se oye; raras vezes llega en su elemento puro, y menos quando viene de lejos; siempre trae algo de mixta, de los afectos por donde passa; tiñe de sus colores la passión quanto toca, ya odiosa, ya favorable. Tira siempre a impressionar: gran cuenta con quien alaba, mayor con quien vitupera. Es menester toda la atención en este punto para descubrir la intención en el que tercia, conociendo de antemano de qué pie se movió.

Tras el Barroco llegó la Ilustración, y con ella un nutrido grupo de intelectuales que cuestionaron el poder vigente y se subieron al carro de la Revolución. En realidad el mismo concepto de «intelectual» podría decirse que tiene aquí su nacimiento, en lo que tiene de escritor que influye en la opinión pública en favor de alguna causa política. Podríamos mencionar varios nombres pero un ejemplo paradigmático lo tenemos en el caso de Nicolás de Condorcet. También recibió formación de los jesuitas, lo que le permitió aprender sus argucias y combatirlos luego de manera infatigable. Su aguda inteligencia le hizo destacar en varios campos, siendo nombrado inspector general de la Moneda. Pero su protagonismo llegaría con la Revolución Francesa, con él como uno de sus principales ideólogos, ejecutores y, finalmente, víctima de ella. Participó en la Asamblea legislativa, y por su posicionamiento moderado se ganó la hostilidad de los jacobinos, que le obligaron a permanecer oculto tras la orden de arresto que dictaron en su contra. Durante ese periodo aprovechó para escribir Esbozo para un cuadro histórico de los progresos del espíritu humano, cuyo optimista título parecía una amarga ironía en relación con la precaria situación en la que vivía. Finalmente fue capturado por las autoridades y murió en su celda, aparentemente por suicidio, en el año 1794. 

La muerte de Condorcet en prisión, de Alexandre-Évariste Fragonard.
La muerte de Condorcet en prisión, de Alexandre-Évariste Fragonard.

Si el siglo XVIII supuso la invención del intelectual, el XX los llevó a su máximo apogeo. Algunos se distinguieron por apoyar la democracia frente al fascismo, como en el caso español sin ir más lejos, con figuras como Unamuno o Lorca, con un coste personal ya conocido: arresto domiciliario y asesinato. Otros se posicionaron según las modas o las conveniencias en un sentido u otro a lo largo de la guerra fría cultural, pero la mayoría se manifestaron encendidamente partidarios de los totalitarismos de diverso signo. Los motivos de esta cerrada adhesión a regímenes que han llevado la tiranía y la muerte a millones de individuos por parte de personas cultas e inteligentes —que ingenuamente cabía suponer que apoyarían ideales ilustrados— han sido objeto de profundos análisis (El opio de los intelectuales, de Raymond Aron o Pasado imperfecto, de Tony Judt) y requerirían otro artículo. La lista sería interminable, pero una figura muy interesante y cuya trayectoria vital tuvo algo que ver con otras que hemos mencionado es la de Albert Speer, que tras ser el arquitecto de Hitler y su ministro de Armamentos, terminó cumpliendo condena en la cárcel de Spandau tras los juicios de Núremberg. Allí escribió sus memorias, un libro de lectura sencillamente imprescindible en el que volcó con mucho detalle y a veces también cierta autoindulgencia su paso por el epicentro mismo del Tercer Reich. Y ya que mencionamos el nazismo, para concluir este breve recorrido regresando a los orígenes no podemos dejar de citar la conocida anécdota sobre el filósofo Martin Heidegger, cuando ocupó de nuevo su cátedra universitaria tras haber apoyado al nazismo de forma entusiasta y un colega le preguntó burlonamente «¿de vuelta de Siracusa?». 

http://www.jotdown.es/2014/10/el-inevitable-fracaso-de-los-intelectuales-metidos-en-politica/

segunda-feira, 7 de abril de 2014

Let's Call Climate Change What It Really Is—Violence

"Climate change is global-scale violence, against places and species as well as against human beings. Once we call it by name, we can start having a real conversation about our priorities and values. Because the revolt against brutality begins with a revolt against the language that hides that brutality."

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If you're poor, the only way you're likely to injure someone is the old traditional way: artisanal violence, we could call it – by hands, by knife, by club, or maybe modern hands-on violence, by gun or by car.

But if you're tremendously wealthy, you can practice industrial-scale violence without any manual labor on your own part. You can, say, build a sweatshop factory that will collapse in Bangladesh and kill more people than any hands-on mass murderer ever did, or you can calculate risk and benefit about putting poisons or unsafe machines into the world, as manufacturers do every day. If you're the leader of a country, you can declare war and kill by the hundreds of thousands or millions. And the nuclear superpowers – the US and Russia – still hold the option of destroying quite a lot of life on Earth.

So do the carbon barons. But when we talk about violence, we almost always talk about violence from below, not above.

Or so I thought when I received a press release last week from a climate group announcing that "scientists say there is a direct link between changing climate and an increase in violence". What the scientists actually said, in a not-so-newsworthy article in Nature two and a half years ago, is that there is higher conflict in the tropics in El Nino years, and that perhaps this will scale up to make our age of climate change also an era of civil and international conflict.

The message is that ordinary people will behave badly in an era of intensified climate change.
All this makes sense, unless you go back to the premise and note that climate change is itself violence. Extreme, horrific, longterm, widespread violence.

Climate change is anthropogenic – caused by human beings, some much more than others. We know the consequences of that change: the acidification of oceans and decline of many species in them, the slowdisappearance of island nations such as the Maldives, increased flooding, drought, crop failure leading to food-price increases and famine, increasingly turbulent weather. (Think Hurricane Sandy and the recent typhoon in the Philippines, and heat waves that kill elderly people by the tens of thousands.)

Climate change is violence.

So if we want to talk about violence and climate change – and we are talking about it, after last week's horrifying report from the world's top climate scientists – then let's talk about climate change as violence. Rather than worrying about whether ordinary human beings will react turbulently to the destruction of the very means of their survival, let's worry about that destruction – and their survival. Of course water failure, crop failure, flooding and more will lead to mass migration and climate refugees – they already have – and this will lead to conflict. Those conflicts are being set in motion now.

You can regard the Arab Spring, in part, as a climate conflict: the increase in wheat prices was one of the triggers for that series of revolts that changed the face of northernmost Africa and the Middle East. On the one hand, you can say, how nice if those people had not been hungry in the first place. On the other, how can you not say, how great is it that those people stood up against being deprived of sustenance and hope? And then you have to look at the systems that created that hunger - the enormous economic inequalities in places such as Egypt and the brutality used to keep down the people at the lower levels of the social system, as well as the weather.

People revolt when their lives are unbearable. Sometimes material reality creates that unbearableness: droughts, plagues, storms, floods. But food and medical care, health and well-being, access to housing and education – these things are also governed by economic means and government policy. That's what the revolt called Occupy Wall Street was against.

Climate change will increase hunger as food prices rise and food production falters, but we already have widespread hunger on Earth, and much of it is due not to the failures of nature and farmers, but to systems of distribution. Almost 16m children in the United States now live with hunger, according to the US Department of Agriculture, and that is not because the vast, agriculturally rich United States cannot produce enough to feed all of us. We are a country whose distribution system is itself a kind of violence.

Climate change is not suddenly bringing about an era of equitable distribution. I suspect people will be revolting in the coming future against what they revolted against in the past: the injustices of the system. They should revolt, and we should be glad they do, if not that they need to (though hope they will recognize that violence is not necessarily where their power lies). One of the events prompting the French Revolution was the failure of the 1788 wheat crop, which made bread prices skyrocket and the poor go hungry. The insurance against such events is often thought to be more authoritarianism and more threats against the poor, but that's only an attempt to keep a lid on what's boiling over; the other way to go is to turn down the heat.

The same week during which I received that ill-thought-out press release about climate and violence, Exxon Mobil Corporation issued a policy report. It makes for boring reading, unless you can make the dry language of business into pictures of the consequences of those acts undertaken for profit. Exxon says:
We are confident that none of our hydrocarbon reserves are now or will become 'stranded'. We believe producing these assets is essential to meeting growing energy demand worldwide.
Stranded assets that mean carbon assets – coal, oil, gas still underground – would become worthless if we decided they could not be extracted and burned in the near future. Because scientists say that we need to leave most of the world's known carbon reserves in the ground if we are to go for the milder rather than the more extreme versions of climate change. Under the milder version, countless more people – species, places – will survive. In the best-case scenario, we damage the Earth less. We are currently wrangling about how much to devastate the Earth.

In every arena, we need to look at industrial-scale and systemic violence, not just the hands-on violence of the less powerful. When it comes to climate change, this is particularly true. Exxon has decided to bet that we can't make the corporation keep its reserves in the ground, and the company is reassuring its investors that it will continue to profit off the rapid, violent and intentional destruction of the Earth.

That's a tired phrase, the destruction of the Earth, but translate it into the face of a starving child and a barren field – and then multiply that a few million times. Or just picture the tiny bivalves: scallops, oysters, Arctic sea snails that can't form shells in acidifying oceans right now. Or another superstorm tearing apart another city. Climate change is global-scale violence, against places and species as well as against human beings. Once we call it by name, we can start having a real conversation about our priorities and values. Because the revolt against brutality begins with a revolt against the language that hides that brutality.

domingo, 23 de março de 2014

What’s gone wrong with democracy

Protestors in Kiev, February 2014

Democracy was the most successful political idea of the 20th century. Why has it run into trouble, and what can be done to revive it?

The Economist - 1 março 2014

THE protesters who have overturned the politics of Ukraine have many aspirations for their country. Their placards called for closer relations with the European Union (EU), an end to Russian intervention in Ukraine’s politics and the establishment of a clean government to replace the kleptocracy of President Viktor Yanukovych. But their fundamental demand is one that has motivated people over many decades to take a stand against corrupt, abusive and autocratic governments. They want a rules-based democracy.
It is easy to understand why. Democracies are on average richer than non-democracies, are less likely to go to war and have a better record of fighting corruption. More fundamentally, democracy lets people speak their minds and shape their own and their children’s futures. That so many people in so many different parts of the world are prepared to risk so much for this idea is testimony to its enduring appeal.
Yet these days the exhilaration generated by events like those in Kiev is mixed with anxiety, for a troubling pattern has repeated itself in capital after capital. The people mass in the main square. Regime-sanctioned thugs try to fight back but lose their nerve in the face of popular intransigence and global news coverage. The world applauds the collapse of the regime and offers to help build a democracy. But turfing out an autocrat turns out to be much easier than setting up a viable democratic government. The new regime stumbles, the economy flounders and the country finds itself in a state at least as bad as it was before. This is what happened in much of the Arab spring, and also in Ukraine’s Orange revolution a decade ago. In 2004 Mr Yanukovych was ousted from office by vast street protests, only to be re-elected to the presidency (with the help of huge amounts of Russian money) in 2010, after the opposition politicians who replaced him turned out to be just as hopeless.



Democracy is going through a difficult time. Where autocrats have been driven out of office, their opponents have mostly failed to create viable democratic regimes. Even in established democracies, flaws in the system have become worryingly visible and disillusion with politics is rife. Yet just a few years ago democracy looked as though it would dominate the world.
In the second half of the 20th century, democracies had taken root in the most difficult circumstances possible—in Germany, which had been traumatised by Nazism, in India, which had the world’s largest population of poor people, and, in the 1990s, in South Africa, which had been disfigured by apartheid. Decolonialisation created a host of new democracies in Africa and Asia, and autocratic regimes gave way to democracy in Greece (1974), Spain (1975), Argentina (1983), Brazil (1985) and Chile (1989). The collapse of the Soviet Union created many fledgling democracies in central Europe. By 2000 Freedom House, an American think-tank, classified 120 countries, or 63% of the world total, as democracies.
Representatives of more than 100 countries gathered at the World Forum on Democracy in Warsaw that year to proclaim that “the will of the people” was “the basis of the authority of government”. A report issued by America’s State Department declared that having seen off “failed experiments” with authoritarian and totalitarian forms of government, “it seems that now, at long last, democracy is triumphant.”
Such hubris was surely understandable after such a run of successes. But stand farther back and the triumph of democracy looks rather less inevitable. After the fall of Athens, where it was first developed, the political model had lain dormant until the Enlightenment more than 2,000 years later. In the 18th century only the American revolution produced a sustainable democracy. During the 19th century monarchists fought a prolonged rearguard action against democratic forces. In the first half of the 20th century nascent democracies collapsed in Germany, Spain and Italy. By 1941 there were only 11 democracies left, and Franklin Roosevelt worried that it might not be possible to shield “the great flame of democracy from the blackout of barbarism”.

A high-water mark?

Freedom score, by country


  • Africa
  • Asia north
  • Asia south
  • Europe
  • Middle East
  • North America
  • South America
% of total19721975198019851990199520002005201020130255075100
Not free
Partly free
Free
1972
Sources: Freedom House; The Economist



The progress seen in the late 20th century has stalled in the 21st. Even though around 40% of the world’s population, more people than ever before, live in countries that will hold free and fair elections this year, democracy’s global advance has come to a halt, and may even have gone into reverse. Freedom House reckons that 2013 was the eighth consecutive year in which global freedom declined, and that its forward march peaked around the beginning of the century. Between 1980 and 2000 the cause of democracy experienced only a few setbacks, but since 2000 there have been many. And democracy’s problems run deeper than mere numbers suggest. Many nominal democracies have slid towards autocracy, maintaining the outward appearance of democracy through elections, but without the rights and institutions that are equally important aspects of a functioning democratic system.
Faith in democracy flares up in moments of triumph, such as the overthrow of unpopular regimes in Cairo or Kiev, only to sputter out once again. Outside the West, democracy often advances only to collapse. And within the West, democracy has too often become associated with debt and dysfunction at home and overreach abroad. Democracy has always had its critics, but now old doubts are being treated with renewed respect as the weaknesses of democracy in its Western strongholds, and the fragility of its influence elsewhere, have become increasingly apparent. Why has democracy lost its forward momentum?




THE two main reasons are the financial crisis of 2007-08 and the rise of China. The damage the crisis did was psychological as well as financial. It revealed fundamental weaknesses in the West’s political systems, undermining the self-confidence that had been one of their great assets. Governments had steadily extended entitlements over decades, allowing dangerous levels of debt to develop, and politicians came to believe that they had abolished boom-bust cycles and tamed risk. Many people became disillusioned with the workings of their political systems—particularly when governments bailed out bankers with taxpayers’ money and then stood by impotently as financiers continued to pay themselves huge bonuses. The crisis turned the Washington consensus into a term of reproach across the emerging world.
Meanwhile, the Chinese Communist Party has broken the democratic world’s monopoly on economic progress. Larry Summers, of Harvard University, observes that when America was growing fastest, it doubled living standards roughly every 30 years. China has been doubling living standards roughly every decade for the past 30 years. The Chinese elite argue that their model—tight control by the Communist Party, coupled with a relentless effort to recruit talented people into its upper ranks—is more efficient than democracy and less susceptible to gridlock. The political leadership changes every decade or so, and there is a constant supply of fresh talent as party cadres are promoted based on their ability to hit targets.



China’s critics rightly condemn the government for controlling public opinion in all sorts of ways, from imprisoning dissidents to censoring internet discussions. Yet the regime’s obsession with control paradoxically means it pays close attention to public opinion. At the same time China’s leaders have been able to tackle some of the big problems of state-building that can take decades to deal with in a democracy. In just two years China has extended pension coverage to an extra 240m rural dwellers, for example—far more than the total number of people covered by America’s public-pension system.
Many Chinese are prepared to put up with their system if it delivers growth. The 2013 Pew Survey of Global Attitudes showed that 85% of Chinese were “very satisfied” with their country’s direction, compared with 31% of Americans. Some Chinese intellectuals have become positively boastful. Zhang Weiwei of Fudan University argues that democracy is destroying the West, and particularly America, because it institutionalises gridlock, trivialises decision-making and throws up second-rate presidents like George Bush junior. Yu Keping of Beijing University argues that democracy makes simple things “overly complicated and frivolous” and allows “certain sweet-talking politicians to mislead the people”. Wang Jisi, also of Beijing University, has observed that “many developing countries that have introduced Western values and political systems are experiencing disorder and chaos” and that China offers an alternative model. Countries from Africa (Rwanda) to the Middle East (Dubai) to South-East Asia (Vietnam) are taking this advice seriously.

Chart showing Russian opinion on democracy versus economy, 2002 to 2012


China’s advance is all the more potent in the context of a series of disappointments for democrats since 2000. The first great setback was in Russia. After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 the democratisation of the old Soviet Union seemed inevitable. In the 1990s Russia took a few drunken steps in that direction under Boris Yeltsin. But at the end of 1999 he resigned and handed power to Vladimir Putin, a former KGB operative who has since been both prime minister and president twice. This postmodern tsar has destroyed the substance of democracy in Russia, muzzling the press and imprisoning his opponents, while preserving the show—everyone can vote, so long as Mr Putin wins. Autocratic leaders in Venezuela, Ukraine, Argentina and elsewhere have followed suit, perpetuating a perverted simulacrum of democracy rather than doing away with it altogether, and thus discrediting it further.
The next big setback was the Iraq war. When Saddam Hussein’s fabled weapons of mass destruction failed to materialise after the American-led invasion of 2003, Mr Bush switched instead to justifying the war as a fight for freedom and democracy. “The concerted effort of free nations to promote democracy is a prelude to our enemies’ defeat,” he argued in his second inaugural address. This was more than mere opportunism: Mr Bush sincerely believed that the Middle East would remain a breeding ground for terrorism so long as it was dominated by dictators. But it did the democratic cause great harm. Left-wingers regarded it as proof that democracy was just a figleaf for American imperialism. Foreign-policy realists took Iraq’s growing chaos as proof that American-led promotion of democratisation was a recipe for instability. And disillusioned neoconservatives such as Francis Fukuyama, an American political scientist, saw it as proof that democracy cannot put down roots in stony ground.
A third serious setback was Egypt. The collapse of Hosni Mubarak’s regime in 2011, amid giant protests, raised hopes that democracy would spread in the Middle East. But the euphoria soon turned to despair. Egypt’s ensuing elections were won not by liberal activists (who were hopelessly divided into a myriad of Pythonesque parties) but by Muhammad Morsi’s Muslim Brotherhood. Mr Morsi treated democracy as a winner-takes-all system, packing the state with Brothers, granting himself almost unlimited powers and creating an upper house with a permanent Islamic majority. In July 2013 the army stepped in, arresting Egypt’s first democratically elected president, imprisoning leading members of the Brotherhood and killing hundreds of demonstrators. Along with war in Syria and anarchy in Libya, this has dashed the hope that the Arab spring would lead to a flowering of democracy across the Middle East.

Chart showing American approval rating on congress, 1974 to 2014

Meanwhile some recent recruits to the democratic camp have lost their lustre. Since the introduction of democracy in 1994 South Africa has been ruled by the same party, the African National Congress, which has become progressively more self-serving. Turkey, which once seemed to combine moderate Islam with prosperity and democracy, is descending into corruption and autocracy. In Bangladesh, Thailand and Cambodia, opposition parties have boycotted recent elections or refused to accept their results.
All this has demonstrated that building the institutions needed to sustain democracy is very slow work indeed, and has dispelled the once-popular notion that democracy will blossom rapidly and spontaneously once the seed is planted. Although democracy may be a “universal aspiration”, as Mr Bush and Tony Blair insisted, it is a culturally rooted practice. Western countries almost all extended the right to vote long after the establishment of sophisticated political systems, with powerful civil services and entrenched constitutional rights, in societies that cherished the notions of individual rights and independent judiciaries.

Anti-austerity protests in Greece, October 2010
Protestors against austerity confront riot police in Greece, October 2010
“Nothing is more wonderful than the art of being free, but nothing is harder to learn how to use than freedom.”

Yet in recent years the very institutions that are meant to provide models for new democracies have come to seem outdated and dysfunctional in established ones. The United States has become a byword for gridlock, so obsessed with partisan point-scoring that it has come to the verge of defaulting on its debts twice in the past two years. Its democracy is also corrupted by gerrymandering, the practice of drawing constituency boundaries to entrench the power of incumbents. This encourages extremism, because politicians have to appeal only to the party faithful, and in effect disenfranchises large numbers of voters. And money talks louder than ever in American politics. Thousands of lobbyists (more than 20 for every member of Congress) add to the length and complexity of legislation, the better to smuggle in special privileges. All this creates the impression that American democracy is for sale and that the rich have more power than the poor, even as lobbyists and donors insist that political expenditure is an exercise in free speech. The result is that America’s image—and by extension that of democracy itself—has taken a terrible battering.
Nor is the EU a paragon of democracy. The decision to introduce the euro in 1999 was taken largely by technocrats; only two countries, Denmark and Sweden, held referendums on the matter (both said no). Efforts to win popular approval for the Lisbon Treaty, which consolidated power in Brussels, were abandoned when people started voting the wrong way. During the darkest days of the euro crisis the euro-elite forced Italy and Greece to replace democratically elected leaders with technocrats. The European Parliament, an unsuccessful attempt to fix Europe’s democratic deficit, is both ignored and despised. The EU has become a breeding ground for populist parties, such as Geert Wilders’s Party for Freedom in the Netherlands and Marine Le Pen’s National Front in France, which claim to defend ordinary people against an arrogant and incompetent elite. Greece’s Golden Dawn is testing how far democracies can tolerate Nazi-style parties. A project designed to tame the beast of European populism is instead poking it back into life.

EVEN in its heartland, democracy is clearly suffering from serious structural problems, rather than a few isolated ailments. Since the dawn of the modern democratic era in the late 19th century, democracy has expressed itself through nation-states and national parliaments. People elect representatives who pull the levers of national power for a fixed period. But this arrangement is now under assault from both above and below.
From above, globalisation has changed national politics profoundly. National politicians have surrendered ever more power, for example over trade and financial flows, to global markets and supranational bodies, and may thus find that they are unable to keep promises they have made to voters. International organisations such as the International Monetary Fund, the World Trade Organisation and the European Union have extended their influence. There is a compelling logic to much of this: how can a single country deal with problems like climate change or tax evasion? National politicians have also responded to globalisation by limiting their discretion and handing power to unelected technocrats in some areas. The number of countries with independent central banks, for example, has increased from about 20 in 1980 to more than 160 today.
From below come equally powerful challenges: from would-be breakaway nations, such as the Catalans and the Scots, from Indian states, from American city mayors. All are trying to reclaim power from national governments. There are also a host of what Moisés Naim, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, calls “micro-powers”, such as NGOs and lobbyists, which are disrupting traditional politics and making life harder for democratic and autocratic leaders alike. The internet makes it easier to organise and agitate; in a world where people can participate in reality-TV votes every week, or support a petition with the click of a mouse, the machinery and institutions of parliamentary democracy, where elections happen only every few years, look increasingly anachronistic. Douglas Carswell, a British member of parliament, likens traditional politics to HMV, a chain of British record shops that went bust, in a world where people are used to calling up whatever music they want whenever they want via Spotify, a popular digital music-streaming service.

Chart showing European political party memberships, 1970 to 2010
Chart showing voter turnout by country at parliamentary elections, 1970 to 2013

The biggest challenge to democracy, however, comes neither from above nor below but from within—from the voters themselves. Plato’s great worry about democracy, that citizens would “live from day to day, indulging the pleasure of the moment”, has proved prescient. Democratic governments got into the habit of running big structural deficits as a matter of course, borrowing to give voters what they wanted in the short term, while neglecting long-term investment. France and Italy have not balanced their budgets for more than 30 years. The financial crisis starkly exposed the unsustainability of such debt-financed democracy.
With the post-crisis stimulus winding down, politicians must now confront the difficult trade-offs they avoided during years of steady growth and easy credit. But persuading voters to adapt to a new age of austerity will not prove popular at the ballot box. Slow growth and tight budgets will provoke conflict as interest groups compete for limited resources. To make matters worse, this competition is taking place as Western populations are ageing. Older people have always been better at getting their voices heard than younger ones, voting in greater numbers and organising pressure groups like America’s mighty AARP. They will increasingly have absolute numbers on their side. Many democracies now face a fight between past and future, between inherited entitlements and future investment.
Adjusting to hard times will be made even more difficult by a growing cynicism towards politics. Party membership is declining across the developed world: only 1% of Britons are now members of political parties compared with 20% in 1950. Voter turnout is falling, too: a study of 49 democracies found that it had declined by 10 percentage points between 1980-84 and 2007-13. A survey of seven European countries in 2012 found that more than half of voters “had no trust in government” whatsoever. A YouGov opinion poll of British voters in the same year found that 62% of those polled agreed that “politicians tell lies all the time”.
Meanwhile the border between poking fun and launching protest campaigns is fast eroding. In 2010 Iceland’s Best Party, promising to be openly corrupt, won enough votes to co-run Reykjavik’s city council. And in 2013 a quarter of Italians voted for a party founded by Beppe Grillo, a comedian. All this popular cynicism about politics might be healthy if people demanded little from their governments, but they continue to want a great deal. The result can be a toxic and unstable mixture: dependency on government on the one hand, and disdain for it on the other. The dependency forces government to overexpand and overburden itself, while the disdain robs it of its legitimacy. Democratic dysfunction goes hand in hand with democratic distemper.

 

 

Spotifying politics

Spotifying politics

Democracy’s problems in its heartland help explain its setbacks elsewhere. Democracy did well in the 20th century in part because of American hegemony: other countries naturally wanted to emulate the world’s leading power. But as China’s influence has grown, America and Europe have lost their appeal as role models and their appetite for spreading democracy. The Obama administration now seems paralysed by the fear that democracy will produce rogue regimes or empower jihadists. And why should developing countries regard democracy as the ideal form of government when the American government cannot even pass a budget, let alone plan for the future? Why should autocrats listen to lectures on democracy from Europe, when the euro-elite sacks elected leaders who get in the way of fiscal orthodoxy?



At the same time, democracies in the emerging world have encountered the same problems as those in the rich world. They too have overindulged in short-term spending rather than long-term investment. Brazil allows public-sector workers to retire at 53 but has done little to create a modern airport system. India pays off vast numbers of client groups but invests too little in infrastructure. Political systems have been captured by interest groups and undermined by anti-democratic habits. Patrick French, a British historian, notes that every member of India’s lower house under the age of 30 is a member of a political dynasty. Even within the capitalist elite, support for democracy is fraying: Indian business moguls constantly complain that India’s chaotic democracy produces rotten infrastructure while China’s authoritarian system produces highways, gleaming airports and high-speed trains.
Democracy has been on the back foot before. In the 1920s and 1930s communism and fascism looked like the coming things: when Spain temporarily restored its parliamentary government in 1931, Benito Mussolini likened it to returning to oil lamps in the age of electricity. In the mid-1970s Willy Brandt, a former German chancellor, pronounced that “western Europe has only 20 or 30 more years of democracy left in it; after that it will slide, engineless and rudderless, under the surrounding sea of dictatorship”. Things are not that bad these days, but China poses a far more credible threat than communism ever did to the idea that democracy is inherently superior and will eventually prevail.
Yet China’s stunning advances conceal deeper problems. The elite is becoming a self-perpetuating and self-serving clique. The 50 richest members of the China’s National People’s Congress are collectively worth $94.7 billion—60 times as much as the 50 richest members of America’s Congress. China’s growth rate has slowed from 10% to below 8% and is expected to fall further—an enormous challenge for a regime whose legitimacy depends on its ability to deliver consistent growth.
At the same time, as Alexis de Tocqueville pointed out in the 19th century, democracies always look weaker than they really are: they are all confusion on the surface but have lots of hidden strengths. Being able to install alternative leaders offering alternative policies makes democracies better than autocracies at finding creative solutions to problems and rising to existential challenges, though they often take a while to zigzag to the right policies. But to succeed, both fledgling and established democracies must ensure they are built on firm foundations.


THE most striking thing about the founders of modern democracy such as James Madison and John Stuart Mill is how hard-headed they were. They regarded democracy as a powerful but imperfect mechanism: something that needed to be designed carefully, in order to harness human creativity but also to check human perversity, and then kept in good working order, constantly oiled, adjusted and worked upon.
The need for hard-headedness is particularly pressing when establishing a nascent democracy. One reason why so many democratic experiments have failed recently is that they put too much emphasis on elections and too little on the other essential features of democracy. The power of the state needs to be checked, for instance, and individual rights such as freedom of speech and freedom to organise must be guaranteed. The most successful new democracies have all worked in large part because they avoided the temptation of majoritarianism—the notion that winning an election entitles the majority to do whatever it pleases. India has survived as a democracy since 1947 (apart from a couple of years of emergency rule) and Brazil since the mid-1980s for much the same reason: both put limits on the power of the government and provided guarantees for individual rights.
Robust constitutions not only promote long-term stability, reducing the likelihood that disgruntled minorities will take against the regime. They also bolster the struggle against corruption, the bane of developing countries. Conversely, the first sign that a fledgling democracy is heading for the rocks often comes when elected rulers try to erode constraints on their power—often in the name of majority rule. Mr Morsi tried to pack Egypt’s upper house with supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood. Mr Yanukovych reduced the power of Ukraine’s parliament. Mr Putin has ridden roughshod over Russia’s independent institutions in the name of the people. Several African leaders are engaging in crude majoritarianism—removing term limits on the presidency or expanding penalties against homosexual behaviour, as Uganda’s president Yoweri Museveni did on February 24th.
Foreign leaders should be more willing to speak out when rulers engage in such illiberal behaviour, even if a majority supports it. But the people who most need to learn this lesson are the architects of new democracies: they must recognise that robust checks and balances are just as vital to the establishment of a healthy democracy as the right to vote. Paradoxically even potential dictators have a lot to learn from events in Egypt and Ukraine: Mr Morsi would not be spending his life shuttling between prison and a glass box in an Egyptian court, and Mr Yanukovych would not be fleeing for his life, if they had not enraged their compatriots by accumulating so much power.

Video

Democracy: A view from Cairo

Democracy: A view from Cairo

Even those lucky enough to live in mature democracies need to pay close attention to the architecture of their political systems. The combination of globalisation and the digital revolution has made some of democracy’s most cherished institutions look outdated. Established democracies need to update their own political systems both to address the problems they face at home, and to revitalise democracy’s image abroad. Some countries have already embarked upon this process. America’s Senate has made it harder for senators to filibuster appointments. A few states have introduced open primaries and handed redistricting to independent boundary commissions. Other obvious changes would improve matters. Reform of party financing, so that the names of all donors are made public, might reduce the influence of special interests. The European Parliament could require its MPs to present receipts with their expenses. Italy’s parliament has far too many members who are paid too much, and two equally powerful chambers, which makes it difficult to get anything done.
But reformers need to be much more ambitious. The best way to constrain the power of special interests is to limit the number of goodies that the state can hand out. And the best way to address popular disillusion towards politicians is to reduce the number of promises they can make. The key to a healthier democracy, in short, is a narrower state—an idea that dates back to the American revolution. “In framing a government which is to be administered by men over men”, Madison argued, “the great difficulty lies in this: you must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself.” The notion of limited government was also integral to the relaunch of democracy after the second world war. The United Nations Charter (1945) and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1948) established rights and norms that countries could not breach, even if majorities wanted to do so.



These checks and balances were motivated by fear of tyranny. But today, particularly in the West, the big dangers to democracy are harder to spot. One is the growing size of the state. The relentless expansion of government is reducing liberty and handing ever more power to special interests. The other comes from government’s habit of making promises that it cannot fulfil, either by creating entitlements it cannot pay for or by waging wars that it cannot win, such as that on drugs. Both voters and governments must be persuaded of the merits of accepting restraints on the state’s natural tendency to overreach. Giving control of monetary policy to independent central banks tamed the rampant inflation of the 1980s, for example. It is time to apply the same principle of limited government to a broader range of policies. Mature democracies, just like nascent ones, require appropriate checks and balances on the power of elected government.
Governments can exercise self-restraint in several different ways. They can put on a golden straitjacket by adopting tight fiscal rules—as the Swedes have done by pledging to balance their budget over the economic cycle. They can introduce “sunset clauses” that force politicians to renew laws every ten years, say. They can ask non-partisan commissions to propose long-term reforms. The Swedes rescued their pension system from collapse when an independent commission suggested pragmatic reforms including greater use of private pensions, and linking the retirement age to life-expectancy. Chile has been particularly successful at managing the combination of the volatility of the copper market and populist pressure to spend the surplus in good times. It has introduced strict rules to ensure that it runs a surplus over the economic cycle, and appointed a commission of experts to determine how to cope with economic volatility.
Isn’t this a recipe for weakening democracy by handing more power to the great and the good? Not necessarily. Self-denying rules can strengthen democracy by preventing people from voting for spending policies that produce bankruptcy and social breakdown and by protecting minorities from persecution. But technocracy can certainly be taken too far. Power must be delegated sparingly, in a few big areas such as monetary policy and entitlement reform, and the process must be open and transparent.
And delegation upwards towards grandees and technocrats must be balanced by delegation downwards, handing some decisions to ordinary people. The trick is to harness the twin forces of globalism and localism, rather than trying to ignore or resist them. With the right balance of these two approaches, the same forces that threaten established democracies from above, through globalisation, and below, through the rise of micro-powers, can reinforce rather than undermine democracy.
Tocqueville argued that local democracy frequently represented democracy at its best: “Town-meetings are to liberty what primary schools are to science; they bring it within the people’s reach, they teach men how to use and enjoy it.” City mayors regularly get twice the approval ratings of national politicians. Modern technology can implement a modern version of Tocqueville’s town-hall meetings to promote civic involvement and innovation. An online hyperdemocracy where everything is put to an endless series of public votes would play to the hand of special-interest groups. But technocracy and direct democracy can keep each other in check: independent budget commissions can assess the cost and feasibility of local ballot initiatives, for example.

Voters in California cast their ballots, November 2012
Voters in California cast their ballots on national and local matters, 2012
“You must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself.”
Several places are making progress towards getting this mixture right. The most encouraging example is California. Its system of direct democracy allowed its citizens to vote for contradictory policies, such as higher spending and lower taxes, while closed primaries and gerrymandered districts institutionalised extremism. But over the past five years California has introduced a series of reforms, thanks in part to the efforts of Nicolas Berggruen, a philanthropist and investor. The state has introduced a “Think Long” committee to counteract the short-term tendencies of ballot initiatives. It has introduced open primaries and handed power to redraw boundaries to an independent commission. And it has succeeded in balancing its budget—an achievement which Darrell Steinberg, the leader of the California Senate, described as “almost surreal”.
Similarly, the Finnish government has set up a non-partisan commission to produce proposals for the future of its pension system. At the same time it is trying to harness e-democracy: parliament is obliged to consider any citizens’ initiative that gains 50,000 signatures. But many more such experiments are needed—combining technocracy with direct democracy, and upward and downward delegation—if democracy is to zigzag its way back to health.
John Adams, America’s second president, once pronounced that “democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.” He was clearly wrong. Democracy was the great victor of the ideological clashes of the 20th century. But if democracy is to remain as successful in the 21st century as it was in the 20th, it must be both assiduously nurtured when it is young—and carefully maintained when it is mature.

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